NFL Divisional Playoffs Feature Four Games

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The cream of the crop. That’s what fans will be watching this weekend as the NFL takes the next step on the way to Super Bowl XLII with its Divisional Playoffs. The remaining eight teams in the 2007 playoffs have a combined record of 101-31. San Diego Chargers head coach Norv Turner said:
“This is always about the next game. It doesn’t get any better than winning. This is why you play. This is why you coach. But we’ve got to set the stage for this week.”
OK, I’m not really sure what that means, but “this week” should be tougher than last week, if for no other reason than the top four playoff seeds — Dallas, Green Bay, Indianapolis and New England — will be in action after enjoying a Wild Card bye. Some call this the best weekend in pro football. You’ve got the most games with the highest-quality matchups. This Divisional Playoff weekend is packed with storylines:
- It is only the sixth time in the past 38 seasons (since 1970) that the Divisional Playoff teams combined for a .750 or better regular-season record (.758).
- Two of the games — both on Sunday — are regular-season rematches with San Diego-Indianapolis and New York Giants-Dallas. The Giants will be the first team in history to enter a road divisional game with an 8-1 road record.
- One game features the NFL’s top passing offense (New England) and the league’s No. 2 rushing offense (Jacksonville).
- Another, Seattle at Green Bay, comes packed with a week’s worth of storylines. I’m already tired of hearing about it, but one will be talked about continuously until game time (and maybe into it) — Seattle quarterback Matt Hasselbeck’s boast upon winning the overtime coin flip in a 2003 Wild Card matchup the last time the teams met in the playoffs. You know what he said — “We want the ball and we’re going to score.” As Round 2 of the 2007 NFL playoffs approaches, every player on the eight Divisional teams had better have just that type of confidence.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (11-6) at GREEN BAY PACKERS (13-3)
There’s the aforementioned Matt Hasselbeck OT scenario (the Packers won on Al Harris’ 52-yard interception return). Matt remembering his stint as Packers QB Brett Favre’s backup in 1999-2000 (he, of course, learned well under #4 — Matt has led Seattle to five playoffs in a row, the last four as NFC West champions, and tied Brett in TD passes this year with 28). Mike Holmgren, who won Super Bowl XXXI as the Packers’ coach, is trying to break a three-game losing streak in Green Bay as Seattle’s coach. But that’s all history. It’s today that counts, when Seattle’s speedy defense, with one of its big assets being its ability to rush the passer (45 sacks, fourth-most in the NFL this season), comes full-force against Brett Favre, whose O-line gave up the third-fewest sacks in ’07 (19, tie). I like the Packers at home. Seattle has the playoff experience, but maybe Green Bay’s young players don’t know any better. They’re just excited to be playing another game. Brett Favre, on the other hand, does know better. And that’s all the Packers need to know.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (12-5) at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (16-0)
Sure, everybody knows that the Patriots went 16-0 this year for only the NFL’s fourth unbeaten and untied season in history — and set a league scoring record with 589 points. But they weren’t the only team to dominate opponents. The Jaguars, through the Wild Card, have an active streak of scoring at least 24 points in 11 consecutive games. Only the Patriots and Dallas, both with 13 games, posted longer such streaks this year. The Jags, led by explosive RBs Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew, piled up 400 yards in five of their last six regular-season games, missing by 19 yards in Week 17 of making it six straight. But they face a real force. The Patriots, led by 2007 NFL MVP Ton Brady (with an NFL season-record 50 TD passes), seem capable of adjusting to whatever defenses throw at them. If the passing lanes are open, they will go to them continuously through WRs Randy Moss (NFL season-record 23 TD catches) and Wes Welker (tied for NFL reception lead with 112). If they have to mix that in with a running game, that’s fine too. This season RB Laurence Maroney topped his rookie season with 835 yards. And they’re tough at home: New England has won nine playoff games in a row at Gillette. I love the Jags. I want to pick the upset here. I think the Pats will be beat up when this one is done. But I picked New England well before the ‘07 season began and I’m sticking with them.
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (12-5) at INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (13-3)
Repeat? Indianapolis certainly hopes not. On a rainy Sunday night in San Diego last November 11, Colts QB Peyton Manning threw a team-record six interceptions against the Chargers, with eventual NFL INT leader Antonio Cromartie accounting for half of them. Scoring 14 unanswered points in the fourth quarter, Indy lined up kicker Adam Vinatieri with 1:31 left only to see him push a 29-yard attempt wide right. Chargers 23, Colts 21. That was Indy’s last loss for the next six weeks, and they accomplished that with one of their major cogs missing — WR Marvin Harrison (knee), who should return tomorrow. It was really not a problem, because WR Reggie Wayne assumed the #1 role, finishing with the league’s top receiving yardage mark (1,510). As for San Diego’s receiving, the mid-season trade for WR Chris Chambers gave them a solid two-pronged offense. Now it was not just RB LaDainian Tomlinson (1,474 yards to lead the NFL in rushing) carrying the load, but defenses had to also scheme for a Chargers receiving game. That was readily seen in the Wild Card round as Chris (121) and Vincent Jackson (114) became only the third receiving tandem in Chargers playoff history to both post 100-yard games. But San Diego goes against the defense that allowed the fewest points in the league this year (262). In a weekend full of potential upsets, this is a no-brainer for me. I don’t see any way the Chargers win this one against the defending World Champs who should play like it.
NEW YORK GIANTS (11-6) at DALLAS COWBOYS (13-3)
It is the 54th time since 1970 that teams have met three times in a season. But only 11 times has a club swept all three games, as the Cowboys will be looking to do Sunday. Plus the Giants have that unique record going for them. Never before has a road team entered a divisional game with an 8-1 road record, which the Giants boast this year. The division rivals have played each other 91 times since 1960, but this will be the first playoff game between the two. And the Giants, indeed, have done well in Dallas, splitting the past eight games there. The last was on ’07 Kickoff Weekend when the teams combined for the most points in the series, 80, with Dallas winning 45-35. Cowboys eventual Pro Bowl QB Tony Romo threw for 345 yards and four TDs. Even with pounding RBs such as Dallas’ Marion Barber and New York’s Brandon Jacobs, and stellar receivers such as the Giants’ Plaxico Burress and Amani Toomer and the Cowboys’ Jason Witten and perhaps Terrell Owens (ankle), the game could come down to the big boys. The Giants’ dominating defense led the league in sacks (53). Dallas surrendered 25, the 10th fewest in the league. This game has upset written all over it. I’m taking the Giants.
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David Kindervater on January 12th, 2008 
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